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Risk after 4 weeks: 740 × (0.82)^4 - Treasure Valley Movers

📅 April 16, 2026 👤 scraface

Apr 16, 2026

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📌 But better: since exponential, integrate:

📌 Let N(d) = N₀ × (1/2)^(d/20), N₀ = 450√2

📌 ∫₂⁴ N(d) dd = N₀ ∫₂⁴ 2^(-d/20) dd

📌 ∫₂⁴ 2^(-d/20) dd = 20 ∫₁² 2^(-u) du = 20 [ -2^(-u) / ln2 ]₁² = 20 [ ( -1/(2^u ln2) ) ]₁² = 20 [ -1/(2^2 ln2) + 1/(2^1 ln2) ] = 20 [ -1/(4 ln2) + 1/(2 ln2) ] = 20 [ ( -0.25 + 0.5 ) / ln2 ] = 20 × (0.25 / ln2) = 5 / ln2

📌 ln2 ≈ 0.6931 → 5

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